ARIDON AG · RESILIENCE ENGINE

Forecast → compare → test → partner

FOUR-LAYER AGRIFOOD RESILIENCE STACK

Turn long-range risk into a farm-level decision.

Aridon connects farm economics, water scenarios, physical testing and research partnerships in one decision path. These tools are planning models, not guarantees. Replace assumptions with measured farm, utility, climate and equipment data as they become available.

LAYER 1

Aridon Ag Forecast Engine

Model 1-, 5-, 10- and 25-year operating outcomes from acres, yield, price, costs and water exposure. The output is a decision signal, not a prediction carved in stone.

AcresYield / acrePrice / unit ($)Operating cost / acre ($)Annual yield trend (%)Annual price trend (%)Annual cost trend (%)Water risk score (0–100)

1-year case

Gross

$219,439

Operating cost

$158,875

Risk-adjusted operating result

$46,739

5-year case

Gross

$233,750

Operating cost

$175,368

Risk-adjusted operating result

$43,655

10-year case

Gross

$252,958

Operating cost

$198,413

Risk-adjusted operating result

$38,609

25-year case

Gross

$320,584

Operating cost

$287,361

Risk-adjusted operating result

$13,026

LAYER 2

Water Scenario Engine

Compare water pathways on the same annual demand. The AWG case below intentionally uses an editable energy assumption so field measurements can replace estimates.

Annual demand (acre-feet)Electricity ($/kWh)Conventional water ($/AF)Recycled water ($/AF)AWG energy (kWh / 1,000 gal)

Scenario	Annual planning cost	Energy	Decision note
Conventional supply	$19,200	Enter local pumping energy separately	Baseline source. Replace with your utility, well or district cost.
Recycled / reclaimed	$78,000	Site-specific	Use when treatment, conveyance and crop rules allow.
Atmospheric water	$6,099,931	46,922,544 kWh/yr	Energy-only planning case. Replace the default with measured AWG performance before investment decisions.

LAYER 3

Southwest Food & Water Resilience Lab

A campus test path that turns model recommendations into measured evidence before scale-up.

1 · Baseline

Measure water, energy, soil, crop/livestock performance, labor and operating cost before intervention.

2 · Controlled pilot

Run one change at a time where practical: irrigation, AWG, reuse, storage, greenhouse, energy or automation.

3 · Verification

Track output, cost, uptime, water quality, maintenance, labor and operational side effects.

4 · Scale decision

Compare measured benefit with capital cost, funding, payback, resilience and farmer acceptance.

No pilot is marked successful until its measurements, assumptions and limitations are attached to the result.

LAYER 4

Research & Partnership Integration

Connect global agrifood research to field execution. Aridon can ingest research assumptions and scenario outputs, translate them into farm decisions, test interventions and return measured evidence.

Research inputs

Climate scenarios, crop assumptions, water constraints, price/trade scenarios and policy research.

Aridon translation

Convert macro findings into operation-specific risk, economics and intervention choices.

Field execution

Route approved trials into farms, ranches, greenhouses and Southwest Technology Campus test facilities.

Evidence loop

Return measured performance, costs, constraints and farmer outcomes to improve the next decision.

Partnership target: IFPRI / CGIAR

Proposed role: research and scenario intelligence upstream; Aridon as the farm-level decision, deployment and verification layer downstream.